Dow Jones Futures: Bears Hunt Down Market Bulls; What Investors Should Do Now

Dow Jones futures will open on Sunday night, together with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures. The inventory market suffered one more week of losses whereas Treasury yields continued to climb.


The main indexes hit resistance and broke beneath assist ranges. It was even worse beneath the floor. Leading shares and sectors that had held up effectively confirmed pressure, with miners in significantly promoting off exhausting. Buying alternatives shortly reversed decrease. Growth shares continued to tumble.

It’s the height week for earnings, with Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), (AMZN), Google mother or father Alphabet (GOOGL), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Caterpillar (CAT), Chevron (CVX), Raytheon Technologies (RTX) and General Dynamics (GD) among the many lots of of corporations reporting this coming week.

But with market circumstances deteriorating, the flood of earnings offers buyers but one more reason to remain on the sidelines. But preserve an in depth eye on large earnings, comparable to Apple, Exxon and General Dynamics, and the market response to these studies.

XOM inventory is on the Big Cap 20 list, which is stuffed with power and commodity performs.

The video embedded on this article evaluations the market motion intimately, whereas additionally analyzing AAPL inventory, Exxon and General Dynamics.

Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures open at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, together with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures.

ETFs monitoring the Dow Jones and S&P 500 fell 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively, Friday night time. The Nasdaq-100 tracker Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) dipped 0.35%.

Remember that in a single day motion in Dow futures and elsewhere would not essentially translate into precise buying and selling within the subsequent common stock market session.

Join IBD experts as they analyze actionable stocks in the stock market rally on IBD Live

Stock Market Action

The inventory market tried to rally however then offered off exhausting, plunging to complete at weekly lows. But the sharp weekly losses masks the scale of the sell-off from Thursday’s intraday highs.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.75% in final week’s stock market trading. The S&P 500 index slumped 2.7%. The Nasdaq composite tumbled 3.8%. The small-cap Russell 2000 gave up 3.1%.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose 8 foundation factors to 2.91%. A 50-basis level Fed fee hike on the early May assembly is a digital lock, together with the beginning of steadiness sheet cuts. Now markets have largely priced in a 75-basis level hike on the June assembly.

U.S. crude oil futures fell 4.1% to $102.71 a barrel final week.

Among the best ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) plunged 6.3% final week, whereas the Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) retreated simply over 4%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) skidded 5.5%. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) misplaced 1.5% after giving up strong positive factors midweek.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) dived 11.3% final week. The Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) retreated 1.9%. U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) popped 2.7%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) dipped 0.2%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) fell 4.5%, with Exxon inventory and Chevron the highest two holdings. The Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) misplaced almost 2%. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) gave up 3.5%.

Reflecting more-speculative story shares, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) plunged 11.1% final week and ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) 9.8%.

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Apple Stock

Apple earnings for the fiscal second quarter are due Thursday night time. Analysts count on a 2% EPS achieve to $1.43 with income up modestly vs. a yr earlier. The iPhone big will probably spotlight manufacturing woes for Q2 and for the present Q3. Analysts are also forecasting a dividend hike and AAPL inventory buyback for the cash-flush tech titan.

After flashing some purchase indicators in late March throughout an 11-session win streak, Apple inventory has fallen again for 4 straight weeks to beneath its 50-day line. It was down 2.1% to 161.79 final week, and shares are transferring again towards their 200-day transferring common. Technically, Apple inventory nonetheless has a deal with buy point of 179.71, simply above the March 30 excessive.

The relative strength line for AAPL inventory is not removed from file highs. That’s extra of an indication of S&P 500 weak point than Apple energy. Still, if Apple earnings are strong and the market does enhance, AAPL inventory could possibly be among the many leaders.

Exxon Stock

Exxon earnings are due Friday, together with fellow oil main Chevron inventory.

After a powerful run-up, XOM inventory is engaged on a shallow cup base, discovering assist alongside the 21-day transferring common. Exxon inventory fell 3.1% to 85.13 final week, offering a little bit of a shakeout after some wedging motion in prior weeks.

That’s not removed from a 91.60 purchase level on a each day chart, in response to MarketSmith analysis. On a weekly chart, XOM inventory has a deal with with an 89.90 entry. But both approach, buyers probably ought to keep away from making new buys till after earnings are introduced.

Fellow oil main Chevron additionally studies Friday. CVX inventory has proven comparable chart motion in current weeks and months.

General Dynamics Stock

General Dynamics earnings are due Wednesday. In this previous week, General Dynamics inventory fell 2% to 238.79, dipping beneath its 21-day transferring common. On a weekly chart, GD inventory is discovering assist simply above its 10-week line.

The protection big has a flat base with a 255.09 purchase level. On a weekly chart, General Dynamics inventory has a four-weeks-tight, simply lacking a fifth “tight” week. Investors might use 249.79, simply above Wednesday’s excessive, as an early entry.

RTX inventory, Northrop Grumman (NOC), and L3Harris Technologies (LHX) even have earnings this coming week with the shares in flat bases close to their 10-week traces. Lockheed Martin (LMT), which already reported this previous week, exhibits comparable chart motion.

Stock Market Analysis

The inventory market suffered vital weekly losses but once more, as Treasury yields proceed to maneuver sharply increased. This previous week, the main indexes got here as much as or above key ranges, however then fell sharply, closing at weekly lows. The Nasdaq after which the S&P 500 broke beneath the prior week’s lows.

The Nasdaq is one unhealthy day from undercutting its March lows. The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 are usually not removed from their worst ranges of 2022.

Google and Nvidia (NVDA) have already undercut their March lows. ARKK and ARKG are simply above ranges.

Leading shares additionally despatched detrimental indicators.

Mining shares offered off exhausting, as a number of warned of weaker manufacturing updates and rising prices. Alcoa (AA), BHP (BHP), Rio Tinto (RIO), Vale (VALE), Freeport McMoRan (FCX) and Newmont Mining (NEM) all tumbled beneath their 50-day transferring averages.

Fortinet (FTNT) and Expedia (EXPE), two shares in relative pockets of market energy, suffered vicious detrimental reversals. Speaking of Expedia, lodges additionally fell again regardless of extra bullish information from airways.

Hospitals had been shaping up, however HCA Healthcare (HCA) crashed Friday, dragging down the group on its revenue warning. HCA, together with cautious steering from Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), hit a number of medical merchandise makers as effectively.

Drugmakers and biotechs suffered some notable losses this previous week. Some nonetheless have respectable charts, however Eli Lilly (LLY) has slumped for 9 straight periods to undercut purchase factors. Lilly earnings are due this coming week.

Yet, metal shares nonetheless look sturdy, although they skidded Friday. Energy shares are trying good. Defense contractors comparable to General Dynamics and Raytheon are holding up in bases. REITs and insurers are comparatively secure. But pockets of energy are shrinking — and more and more about relative energy vs. precise positive factors — whereas the broader market sells off exhausting.

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What To Do Now

The inventory market has gone from unhealthy to worse. Even areas of energy are beginning to endure and topic to sudden, violent sell-offs.

There is not any actual cause to have something greater than minimal publicity within the present market, with the potential exception of long-term large winners. Being completely in money makes plenty of sense.

Market circumstances will enhance, finally, however they may get quite a bit worse earlier than that occurs. There’s no assure that former leaders, or your present holdings, will lead the subsequent advance.

Right now buyers ought to concentrate on preserving their monetary and psychological capital. You do not need to be preventing a detrimental market pattern after which be too exhausted and gun-shy to reap the benefits of the subsequent sustained uptrend.

Do not get sucked into a powerful market open, and even strong session or two. Big positive factors in unhealthy markets needs to be considered with suspicion.

Continue to work in your watchlists. Focus on relative energy, even when the shares aren’t essentially in place.

Read The Big Picture day-after-day to remain in sync with the market path and main shares and sectors.

Please comply with Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for inventory market updates and extra.


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